EURUSD: adjustment from the level of 1.1364

EURUSD
March 31, 2016, 09:41
Buy on a level breakthrough of 1.1364 with 1.1424 target. Stop loss = 1.1314.

Reason for the trading strategy

In February, Germany's retail sales decreased by 0.4% (m/m), with a forecast of a 0.4% (m/m) growth. However, the annualized rate increased by 5.4% against the forecast of 2.2%. In addition, in March, Germany's inflation rate rose by 0.8% (m/m) with a forecast of 0.6% (m/m) (the ECB stimulus measures contribute to a growth in inflation). After an adjustment, the EURUSD pair is likely to retest the resistance level of 1.1364.



EURUSD, H1

EURUSD: adjustment from the level of 1.1364

USDCAD: adjustment from the level of 1.2911

USDCAD
March 31, 2016, 10:40
Sell on a level breakthrough of 1.2911 with 1.2840 target. Stop loss = 1.2961.

Reason for the trading strategy

Despite the decline in the price of WTI crude oil from 42.5 to 37.6 dollars per barrel since March 18, the USDCAD pair continued to consolidate around the lower limit of the range of 1.2911-1.3295. This "anomaly" is due to the revaluation of the prospects of the US Federal Reserve tightening the monetary policy. This year, at best, the US Federal Reserve will raise the interest rates only twice and not 4 times.



USDCAD, H4

USDCAD: adjustment from the level of 1.2911

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GBPUSD: consolidation before Janet Yellen's speech

GBPUSD
March 29, 2016, 09:47
Buy on a level breakthrough of 1.4282 with 1.4365 target. Stop loss = 1.4232.

Reason for the trading strategy

Today, the speech given by Janet Yellen, the US Federal Reserve Chairman, will have a significant influence on the dollar. If she focuses her attention on the low inflation expectations in the United States, the GBPUSD could gain a foothold above the level of 1.4282.



GBPUSD, H1

GBPUSD: consolidation before Janet Yellen's speech

AUDUSD: consolidation in the range of 0.7475-0.7570

AUDUSD
March 29, 2016, 09:49
Buy on a level breakthrough of 0.7570 with 0.7650 target. Stop loss = 0.7520.

Reason for the trading strategy

Over the last month, the yield on 10-year US bonds rose by 14 bps to 1.87%, and the yield on the Australian ones rose by 17 bps to 2.57%. In the context of stabilization of prices for raw materials, purchasing high-yielding Australian bonds attracts investors.



AUDUSD, H1

AUDUSD: consolidation in the range of 0.7475-0.7570

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USDJPY: consolidation below the level of 113.69

USDJPY
March 28, 2016, 09:56
Buy on a level breakthrough of 113.69 with 114.50 target. Stop loss = 113.19.

Reason for the trading strategy

The weak data on the Japanese economy (low inflation) and the strong data on the American one (good GDP) are pushing the USDJPY pair to the level of 114.50. The breakthrough of the local resistance level of 113.69 will serve as signal for purchasing it.

USDJPY: consolidation below the level of 113.69

EURJPY: growth against the background of weakening yen

EURJPY
March 28, 2016, 09:58
Buy on a level breakthrough of 126.87 with 127.27 target. Stop loss = 126.47.

Reason for the trading strategy

Tomorrow, the Japanese currency will respond to the statistics on the labor market and retail sales in Japan. If it turns out worse than expected, it will put pressure on the profitability of the Japanese bonds and push the EURJPY pair above the level of 127.27.

EURJPY: growth against the background of weakening yen

Trend Scalp - VertexFX

Trend Scalp is a Client Side VTL indicator for scalping. It identifies the short term trend in the underlying instrument. Trend is identified based on price action. The indicator calculates trend direction by measuring the relative position of last bars high and low within the ranges of last 15 bars high low range. Then it plots the trend scalp indicator (red line). When it is rising above the zero level, strong uptrend is present and in strong down trend, the red line is below zero and falling downward. The aqua color line shows the trend direction. It is either +100 or -100, when it is +100, trend direction is upward, and when it is -100, trend direction is down.
The indicator applied to shorter time frames, it will work as a scalping indicator. Scalping is when the trader focuses on a few pips profit from fast trades. When trend direction changes to upward, the trend direction line, aqua colored line, flips to +100 from -100, trader can open buy position. Sell position is opened when the trend direction line flips to -100 from +100. Traders can apply a tight stop loss of about 10 pips and expect similar take profit levels. Also Buy position can be opened when trend scalp line is rising and above zero. It is better used in discretionary trading and the trend scalp indicator provides a good view of trend direction as well as trend strength.
Trend Scalp indicator can be customized to suit each symbol and time frame. To change parameter values, open the script in VTL editor. Parameters are located at the top of the script file and well documented. Experiment with different combinations of parameter values to pick the best values for the symbol and time frame.

Attached Files

• trend_scalp_indicator.zip (3.4 KB)

Trend Scalp - VertexFX

Slope Direction Line

Slope Direction Line is a Client Side VTL Indicator. It shows the slope direction of price moves. Slope is a statistical measure showing the angle of price moves. The indicator plots a line showing the slope of the price move in last ten bars by default. When the line color is white, the trend direction is up and red line indicates down trend. This is useful in identifying trend direction automatically. The change in slope direction can be used as entry signals in trading. It can be used as trend filter in trading systems also. When a persistent uptrend or down trend is identified by the slope direction line, by the slope direction remains in the same direction for a few bars, traders can expect continuation of price move in that direction and can open new positions. Exits can be made when the slope direction changes.
The indicator can be customized through the parameters. To change parameters, open the script in VTL editor. Parameters are located at the top of the script and well documented. Available options are slope calculation period, moving average type to use in slope calculation and price filed to apply the slope calculation.

Attached Files

• slope_direction_line.zip (3.0 KB)

Slope Direction Line

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FxNet Daily Market News

Gold Prices Ease as Rate Hike Expectations Increase

Market focuses on St. Louis Fed President Speech

Gold futures extended losses from the earlier session in European trade this Thursday, reaching a four-week low as market participants adapted to the Federal Reserve’s statements about the time the next US rate hike takes place.

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard supported the possibility of an upcoming raise in interest rates in 2016. In addition, in an interview on Wednesday he stated that policymakers should take into consideration raising rates in their April meeting.

Gold for April delivery eased $7.30 to trade at $1,216.70 a troy ounce by 08:20GMT, or 4:20AM ET, after to reaching a session low of $1,211.20, the lowest level it has hit since February 23.

The market will focus on more comments by Bullard later Thursday to determine the balance of opinions between policymakers on the possibility of more interest rate hikes. Bullard’s speech regarding the US economy and monetary policy is scheduled at the Association for Business Economics, in New York at 12:15GMT, or 8:15AM ET.

On Wednesday, gold had moved up $24.60, while hawkish comments by the Federal Reserve pushed the US dollar up.

The US dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six other major currencies, was up 0.3% reaching a one-week high of 96.35.

FxNet Daily Market News

Parabolic Zig Zag

Parabolic Zig Zag is a VTL Client Side Indicator. It is another Zig Zag indicator using Parabolic Stop and Reverse Indicator for identification of swing highs and swing lows. The indicator plots the zig zag line and Fibonacci retracement levels for the last two swing points. This is useful in identifying targets and entry levels on retracement trades. The last four swing levels are also marked in the chart. Zig Zag indicator is used in identification of chart patterns and trades based on Fibonacci levels. In the image attached a Double Top pattern is easily identified with the Parabolic Zig Zag. The Fibonacci levels for the last swing can be used as target levels for this trade.
The Zig Zag is useful in identifying complex chart patterns like Harmonic patterns, Wolfe waves etc. The indicator can be customized through the parameters. To change parameter values, open the script in VTL editor. Parameters are located at the top of the script file and well documented. Available options are SAR indicator step value, maximum value and number of bars the indicator must be applied.

Attached Files

• parabolic_zz_indicator.zip (3.9 KB)

Parabolic Zig Zag

MNL Price Indicator - VertexFX

MNL Price Indicator is a price action based short term trend indicator. It is calculated based on the short term price moves over a period of three bars. This indicator is quickly responsive to changes in trend over a few bars in chart. The red line indicates the trend direction as well as the trend strength. When it is above zero, trend is up and higher values indicate strength in the uptrend. When it is below zero, trend is down and lower values indicate strength in down trend. The teal color line is an average of the red line and can be used as a signal line. When red line cross above teal line, trend has confirmed to be upward and vice versa.
MNL Price Indicator being quickly responsive to fast changes in short term trend, must be used with trend filters. Otherwise it will generate many false signals. A 50 period moving average can be used as a trend filter. Buy signals are valid when price is above the trend filter MA and sell signal must be ignored. See Image attached.
The Indicator can be customized through the parameters. Parameters are located at the top of the script file. Open the script in VTL editor and modify parameter values. This part of the script is well documented for ease of use.

Attached Files

• mnl_price_indicator.zip (2.4 KB)

MNL Price Indicator - VertexFX

KI Signals

Ki Signals is a VTL Client Side Indicator. It finds the trend reversal with the aid of moving averages and plots up and down arrows when Ki Signals indicator identify trend reversal. It calculates two moving averages, fast and medium term of periods 3 and 10. Then it calculates a comparatively longer term (16) exponential moving average of the difference between fast and medium term moving averages calculated in first step. When the longer term EMA cross above zero, it plots an up arrow showing trend is turning upward and when it cross below zero, it plots a down arrow indicating trend is turning down. Ki Signals is similar to MACD indicator in construction but the logic is different.
Ki Signals indicator can be used to generate trading signals or it can be used as a trend filter. In trading ranges, it will produce false signals as the case with technical analysis indicators. Use it together with other filters to avoid false signals.
The Ki Signals can be customized through the parameters. To change parameter values, open the VTL script in VTL editor and the parameters are located at the top of the script file. This part of the script file is well documented for ease of use. Available options are Fast, Medium and Slow EMA periods.

[IMG]http://ift.tt/1o7YStT]

Attached Files

• ki_signals.zip (3.5 KB)

KI Signals

GMMA Long - VertexFX

Guppy Multiple Moving Average – Long is Client Side VTL Indicator. Guppy Multiple Moving Averages (GMMA) Long is used to identify the long term trend in the instrument. It is a set of six exponential moving averages of period 30, 35, 40, 45, 50 and 60. When all the moving averages are sloping upward, a long term uptrend is in place and in a down trend, all the six moving averages slope downward.
GMMA Long can be used as trend filter as well as to generate trading signals. In trading ranges, the averages are placed close together, when the trend is strong, they depart from each other and slope in the direction of the trend. Buy signals can be generated when price is trading above all the averages and the averages slope upward. Opposite situation can be used to generate sell signals. The image attached illustrates the behavior of the GMMA Long in trading ranges and trends. In strong trends, the zone marked by the averages acts as support or resistance. This can be used to enter pullback trades.

GMMA Long - VertexFX

Gimmee Bars - VertexFX

Gimmee Bars is a Client Side VTL indicator. Gimmee Bar is a price action reversal candle formation. When price trades above or below the Bollinger bands and immediately closes within the Bollinger bands, it is a Gimmee bar setup. Entry point is when price breaks the high or low of the Gimmee Bar. This is a powerful price action trading strategy.
The Gimmee Bar indicator identifies the Gimmee Bar formations and marks the entry points in chart. This being a counter trend strategy, it works better in trading ranges or consolidation. The indicator plots the Bollinger bands, use the Bollinger bands to identify trading ranges. When the Bollinger Band lines are not sloping up or down, the market is in a trading range. In a trading range, if a Gimme bar is formed at the Bollinger band top, open short position when the price breaks below the Gimmee Bar low. Buy when Gimmee Bar is formed at the bottom of the Bollinger Bands and setup bar’s high is broken.
The Bollinger Band Period and Standard Deviation can be adjusted through the parameters. To change parameter values, open the script in VTL editor. The parameters are located at the top of the script file, change the parameter values and apply the indicator again to chart.
[img]http://ift.tt/1Mn6zrG]

Attached Files

• gimmebar_indicator.zip (3.8 KB)

Gimmee Bars - VertexFX

The high oil prices support the Loonie

USDCAD
March 23, 2016, 11:22
Sell on a level breakthrough of 1.2970 with 1.2840 target. Stop loss = 1.3020.

Reason for the trading strategy

The external background is favorable for the growth of the Loonie. The WTI crude oil prices are staying at around $41 per barrel, and are responding positively to the message about the possibility of Saudi Arabia signing an agreement on the limitation of oil production on 17 April, even without Iran's participation.

USDCAD, H4

The high oil prices support the Loonie

AUDUSD: consolidation below the level of 0.7625

AUDUSD
March 23, 2016, 12:11
Buy on a level breakthrough of 0.7625 with 0.7680 target. Stop loss = 0.7575.

Reason for the trading strategy

Earlier this week, China weakened its restrictions on margin trading in lending. China Securities Finance Corp., which provides margin lending services in China, announced the renewal of short-term loans for a period of 7, 14, 28, 91 and 182 days. At the same time, the company reported a decrease in interest rates for loans. In particular, the interest rate on 182 day loans will be reduced from 4.8% to 3%. These measures may enhance the growth of demand for Chinese stocks and support the commodity currencies.

AUDUSD, H1

AUDUSD: consolidation below the level of 0.7625

The Loonie is trying to gain a foothold against the background of rising oil prices

USDCAD
March 22, 2016, 11:11
Sell on a level breakthrough of 1.2970 with 1.2840 target. Stop loss = 1.3020.

Reason for the trading strategy

The expectations of the meeting of oil producing countries, which can work out a common position on the stabilization of the situation in the oil market on April 17, support the oil prices and the Loonie. This week, the WTI crude oil can update the local high of 42.5 dollars.

USDCAD, H4

The Loonie is trying to gain a foothold against the background of rising oil prices

The Aussie is approaching the resistance level of 0.7626

AUDUSD
March 22, 2016, 11:21
Buy on a level breakthrough of 0.7626 with 0.7680 target. Stop loss = 0.7576.

Reason for the trading strategy

The Manager of the RBA does not know how successful the reorientation of the Chinese economy will be. But he believes that there is a decent GDP growth in the Australian economy.

AUDUSD, H1

The Aussie is approaching the resistance level of 0.7626

Bulls Vs Bears - VertexFX Client Side VTL

Hello
Bulls Vs Bears is a Client Side VertexFX VTL Indicator. The indicator shows the underlying strength in price moves. It plots two lines on the indicator pane, the green line is the Bull Power and red line is the Bear Power. Bull power is calculated as the distance between the high of the bar from a 14 period moving average. Bear Power is the distance between the low of the bar and the 14 period moving average. When the bull power line is above the bear power line, an uptrend is in place. For a down trend the bear power line is above the bull power line. Trading signals can be generated with the crossover of bull power and bear power lines. When the bull power crosses above bear power, buy positions can be opened and vice versa for sell position. However, it is better to use the Bulls Vs Bears indicator in confirmation with other indicators.
The chart attached shows the indicator picking the uptrend and down trend with crossover of bull and bear lines. However, note that in sideways markets, the indicator generates choppy signals. The moving average period can be adjusted through the parameter “BBperiod” at the top of the script file. Use this indicator together with other indicators to generate solid trading signals.

Attached Files

• Bulls Vs Bears.txt (13.5 KB)

Bulls Vs Bears - VertexFX Client Side VTL

EURJPY: consolidation above the level of 125.09

EURJPY
March 21, 2016, 10:23
Sell on a level breakthrough of 125.09 with 124.25 target. Stop loss = 125.59.

Reason for the trading strategy

It became known last Friday that Germany's producer price index fell by 0.5% (m/m) in February, with a forecast of a 0.2% decline (m/m). The deflationary processes, taking place in the Eurozone's largest economy, are putting pressure on the euro cross rates.

EURJPY, H1

EURJPY: consolidation above the level of 125.09

USDCAD: adjustment from the level of 1.2970

USDCAD
March 21, 2016, 10:29
Sell on a level breakthrough of 1.2970 with 1.2840 target. Stop loss = 1.3020.

Reason for the trading strategy

The statistics on core inflation and retail sales in Canada, which has appeared at the expected level or better, has reduced the likelihood of lowering the key interest rate in the country. At the moment, the growth in the number of oil rigs in the United States, which has increased by 1 to 387 pieces over the last week, puts some pressure on the Loonie.

USDCAD, H4

USDCAD: adjustment from the level of 1.2970

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EURUSD: consolidation below the level of 1.1374

EURUSD
March 18, 2016, 10:31
Buy on a level breakthrough of 1.1374 with 1.1494 target. Stop loss = 1.1324.

Reason for the trading strategy

The US Federal Reserve's downward revision of the forecasts for inflation rates, GDP, and the US interest rates puts pressure on the US dollar. In the medium term, the euro may test the level of 1.1494 dollars.

EURUSD, Daily

EURUSD: consolidation below the level of 1.1374

GBPUSD: consolidation below the level of 1.4502

GBPUSD
March 18, 2016, 10:36
Buy on a level breakthrough of 1.4502 with 1.4667 target. Stop loss = 1.4450.

Reason for the trading strategy

The fact that the yield spread between the US and the UK key interest rates remains unchanged and the downward revision of the trajectory of their increase in the United States support the GBPUSD pair. After an adjustment, it can reach the level of 1.4667.

GBPUSD, Daily

GBPUSD: consolidation below the level of 1.4502

GBPUSD: consolidation before the Bank of England meeting

GBPUSD
March 17, 2016, 09:32
Buy on a level breakthrough of 1.4290 with 1.4435 target. Stop loss = 1.4240.

Reason for the trading strategy

The weakness of the US dollar could allow the pound to test the level of 1.4435 in the near future. Today, it is worth paying attention to the Bank of England meeting, which is likely to keep the key interest rate and the volume of asset purchases unchanged.

GBPUSD, H4

GBPUSD: consolidation before the Bank of England meeting

New Zealand GDP supported the Kiwi

NZDUSD
March 17, 2016, 11:36
Buy on a level breakthrough of 0.6830 with 0.6884 target. Stop loss = 0.6780.

Reason for the trading strategy

New Zealand's GDP grew by 2.5% (y/y) in 2015, with a forecast of 2.4% (y/y). The positive internal statistics and the weakness of the US dollar support the NZDUSD pair.

NZDUSD, H4

New Zealand GDP supported the Kiwi

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The Bank of Japan could theoretically reduce the deposit rate to -0.5%

USDJPY
March 16, 2016, 09:09
Buy on a level breakthrough of 113.55 with 114.12 target. Stop loss = 113.05.

Reason for the trading strategy

The statement made by Mr. Kuroda, the Governor of the Bank of Japan, today that there is considerable room for further lowering of interest rates on deposits in Japan (approximately form -0.1% to -0.5%) put pressure on the yen.

USDJPY, H1

The Bank of Japan could theoretically reduce the deposit rate to -0.5%

USDCAD: consolidation in the range of 1.3335-1.3400

USDCAD
March 16, 2016, 09:12
Sell on a level breakthrough of 1.3335 with 1.3255 target. Stop loss = 1.3385.

Reason for the trading strategy

Today the WTI oil prices are growing and are above $38.5 per barrel. Market participants are picking up the crude oil futures that became cheaper yesterday, winning back the American Petroleum Institute statistics, according to which, the gasoline and distillates stocks in the US decreased by about 2 million barrels in total over the past week.

USDCAD, H1

USDCAD: consolidation in the range of 1.3335-1.3400

Uses of Divergence in forex

First of all the word divergence means to separate, In technical analysis, divergence is a situation where price and indicator move in opposite directions, such as prices rising while the indicator is falling. Divergence is considered either positive (bullish) or negative (bearish); both kinds of divergence signal major shifts in price direction. Positive/bullish divergence occurs when the price of a security makes a new low while the momentum indicator starts to climb upward. Negative/bearish divergence happens when the price of the security makes a new high, but the indicator fails to do the same and instead moves lower. Divergences frequently occur in extended price moves and frequently resolve with the price reversing direction to follow the momentum indicator.
Divergence is used spot potential market reversals by comparing an indicator with market direction. Below is a graph that shows a situation where price and indicator move in opposite directions

Uses of Divergence in forex

Uses of Divergence in forex

First of all the word divergence means to separate, In technical analysis, divergence is a situation where price and indicator move in opposite directions, such as prices rising while the indicator is falling. Divergence is considered either positive (bullish) or negative (bearish); both kinds of divergence signal major shifts in price direction. Positive/bullish divergence occurs when the price of a security makes a new low while the momentum indicator starts to climb upward. Negative/bearish divergence happens when the price of the security makes a new high, but the indicator fails to do the same and instead moves lower. Divergences frequently occur in extended price moves and frequently resolve with the price reversing direction to follow the momentum indicator.
Divergence is used spot potential market reversals by comparing an indicator with market direction. Below is a graph that shows a situation where price and indicator move in opposite directions

Attached Images

• divergence.gif (9.6 KB)

Uses of Divergence in forex

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Forex trading strategy (EUR/USD simple system)

Forex trading strategy (EUR/USD simple system)
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Forex trading strategy (EUR/USD simple system)

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10 strongest signals to enter the market
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China's inflation statistics has supported the Aussie

Buy on a level breakthrough of 0.7526 with 0.7600 target. Stop loss = 0.7470.

Reason for the trading strategy

China's consumer price index rose from 1.8% to 2.3% in February, while the producer price index rose from -5.3% to - 4.9% per annum. The increase in inflationary pressures in the largest Asian economy signals a restoration of business activity in the country and contributes to a growth of the commodity assets. The recovery of oil prices to their multi-year lows plays quite an important role in this process.

China's inflation statistics has supported the Aussie

USDJPY: consolidation around the level of 113.83

Buy on a level breakthrough of 113.83 with 114.55 target. Stop loss = 113.33.

Reason for the trading strategy

Last week, the number of jobless claims in the US fell from 277 thousand to 259 thousand. This will be conducive to a further reduction in the unemployment level and enhance the probability of an increase in the US interest rates.

USDJPY: consolidation around the level of 113.83

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The USDCAD pair is "eyeing" the 1.3150 level

USDCAD
March 10, 2016, 09:39
Sell on a level breakthrough of 1.3227 with 1.3150 target. Stop loss = 1.3277.

Reason for the trading strategy

The oil prices have responded positively to the publication of statistics on the US oil and petrochemical stocks last week. According to the US Department of Energy, oil inventories rose by 3.88 million barrels, but gasoline stocks fell by 4.526 million, and the distillate inventories declined by 1.119 million barrels. As expected, the Bank of Canada has maintained its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.5%. The news support the Loonie.

The USDCAD pair is "eyeing" the 1.3150 level

EURUSD: consolidation above the level of 1.0940

EURUSD
March 10, 2016, 11:25
Sell on a level breakthrough of 1.0940 with 1.0825 target. Stop loss = 1.0990.

Reason for the trading strategy

In January, the surplus of Germany's balance of payments totaled 13.2 trillion yen, with a forecast of 17.0 trillion yen. In the reporting period, Germany's exports decreased by 0.5% (m/m), while its imports grew by 1.2% (m/m). The statistics on Germany's foreign trade turned out to be worse than expected, and this puts additional pressure on the euro before the ECB meeting.

EURUSD: consolidation above the level of 1.0940

AUDUSD: consolidation above the level of 0.7394

Buy on rebound from 0.7394 level with 0.7484 target. Stop loss = 0.7344.

Reason for the trading strategy

The Westpac consumer confidence index in Australia (calculated at the end of the current month) declined by 2.2% (m/m), after 4.4% (m/m) growth in February. Low consumer activity of Australian households will have a negative impact on GDP in Q1 2016. However, growth of Australian exports is capable of supporting the index.

AUDUSD: consolidation above the level of 0.7394

USDCAD: under pressure before the Bank of Canada meeting

Sell on a level breakthrough of 1.3367 with 1.3261 target. Stop loss = 1.3417.

Reason for the trading strategy

According to the American Petroleum Institute, last week, crude oil inventories in the US rose by 4.4 million barrels, but gasoline inventories fell by 2.1 million barrels. Today, it is worth paying attention to similar data from the US Department of Energy and the Bank of Canada meeting, which is likely to keep its key interest rate unchanged.

USDCAD: under pressure before the Bank of Canada meeting

USDCAD: consolidation higher than the 1.3309 level

Sell on a level breakthrough of 1.3309 with 1.3200 target. Stop loss = 1.3359.

Reason for the trading strategy

According to Baker Hughes, the number of oil installations in the US last week fell by 8 to 392, and the number of gas installations fell by 5 to 97. The WTI crude oil prices reacted positively to the statistics and are now trading at around $36.57 per barrel.

USDCAD: consolidation higher than the 1.3309 level

EURUSD: consolidation below the 1.1028 level

Buy on a level breakthrough of 1.1028 with 1.1068 target. Stop loss = 1.0988.

Reason for the trading strategy

In January, the volume of industrial orders in Germany fell by 0.1% (m/m) with a forecast of a 0.4% (m/m) decline. In December, the decline in the index was revised from minus 0.7% (m/m) to minus 0.2% (m/m). The statistics, which turned out better than expected, supported the EURUSD pair. Today, it can test the 1.1068 level against the background of curtailing of the carry trade operations in Asia.

EURUSD: consolidation below the 1.1028 level

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USDCAD: consolidation above the level of 1.3369

USDCAD
March 4, 2016, 09:10
Sell on a level breakthrough of 1.3369 with 1.3300 target. Stop loss = 1.3420.

Reason for the trading strategy

It became known yesterday that Saudi Arabia has increased the prices for batches of oil at an average for 20-35 cents (by March) to be delivered to consumers in Asia and Western Europe in April. The current consolidation of oil prices on multi-weeks’ highs has supported the Loonie.

USDCAD: consolidation above the level of 1.3369

The euro is trying to enter the level of $1.1067

EURUSD
March 4, 2016, 09:05
Buy on a level breakthrough of 1.0974 with 1.1067 target. Stop loss = 1.0924.

Reason for the trading strategy

The dollar falls under pressure as a result of the deterioration in the macroeconomic statistics (growth of jobless claims, falling business activity index in the US service sector) and the statement made by the president of the FRB Dallas Kaplan about the need to "be patient" in terms of a further increase in US interest rates due to a slower global economic growth and a tightening of financial conditions.

The euro is trying to enter the level of $1.1067

GBPUSD: consolidation in the range of 1.4042-1.4105

GBPUSD
March 3, 2016, 10:11
Buy on a level breakthrough of 1.4105 with 1.4167 target. Stop loss = 1.4055.

Reason for the trading strategy

After the breakthrough of the upper limit of the range of 1.3840-1.4042, an adjustment of the GBPUSD pair is observed. Note that recently the pound has been acting as a risk indicator, it grows as the oil prices rise. Today, attention should be paid to the publication of the business activity index in the UK's services sector.



GBPUSD, H4

GBPUSD: consolidation in the range of 1.4042-1.4105

AUDUSD: growth after publication of data on Australia's foreign trade

AUDUSD
March 3, 2016, 09:10
Buy on a level breakthrough of 0.7326 with 0.7384 target. Stop loss = 0.7276.

Reason for the trading strategy

In January, Australia's trade balance fell from 3.54 billion to 2.94 billion Australian dollars. We can expect an improvement in the country' foreign trade situation and a strengthening of the Aussie in Q1 2016.



AUDUSD, Daily

AUDUSD: growth after publication of data on Australia's foreign trade

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The Aussie is approaching the resistance level of 0.7258

AUDUSD
March 2, 2016, 09:01
Buy on a level breakthrough of 0.7258 with 0.7326 target. Stop loss = 0.7200.
Reason for the trading strategy
Today's growth of the Aussie is not surprising. The whole of Asia is "green". The CSI 300 and the Nikkei225 have added about 4%. Investors are reacting to the monetary easing conducted by the People's Bank of China. In addition, the internal macroeconomic statistics has supported the Aussie. Australia's GDP increased by 0.6% (y/y) in Q4 2015, with a forecast of 0.5% (y/y), and the figure for Q3 2015 was revised upwards.

AUDUSD, H4

The Aussie is approaching the resistance level of 0.7258

GBPUSD: consolidation before the ADP publication of the number of jobs in the US priv

GBPUSD
March 2, 2016, 10:13
Sell on a level breakthrough of 1.3840 with 1.3750 target. Stop loss = 1.3890.

Reason for the trading strategy

The basic scenario for the GBPUSD pair involves it breaking through the lower limit of the range of 1.3840-1.4042. Today, the US dollar may be supported by the publication of the ADP employment statistics in the US private sector. In February, employment is expected to increase by 185 thousand.



GBPUSD, H4

GBPUSD: consolidation before the ADP publication of the number of jobs in the US priv

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EURJPY: adjustment from the level of 122.07

Sell on a level breakthrough of 122.07 with 121.00 target. Stop loss = 122.57.

Reason for the trading strategy

The decline in the euro has a negative impact on the EURJPY pair. Today, attention should be paid to the publication of the unemployment rate and the business activity index in the Eurozone manufacturing sector. After an adjusting growth, the pair could retest the level of 122.07.

EURJPY: adjustment from the level of 122.07

The USDCHF pair is "rushing" towards the level of 1.01

Buy on a level breakthrough of 1.0037 with 1.0100 target. Stop loss = 0.9987.

Reason for the trading strategy

Expectations of an expansion of monetary stimulus measures in the Eurozone in March have a negative impact on the franc. The growth of the business activity index from 50 p. to 51.6 p. in Switzerland's manufacturing sector reported in February does not help it either.

The USDCHF pair is "rushing" towards the level of 1.01

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