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Fall in retail sales did not scare the Swiss franc

USDCHF
April 1, 2016, 10:36
Sell on a level breakthrough of 0.9571 with 0.9475 target. Stop loss = 0.9640.

Reason for the trading strategy

In February, the retail sales in Switzerland decreased by 0.2% (m/m), with a forecast of a 0.5% (m/m) decline. The statistics, which signaled a contraction in consumer spending, did not put any pressure on the franc. The US statistics do not exude any optimism either. Last week, the number of jobless claims in the US increased by 11 thousand to 276 thousand, with a forecast of 265 thousand.

Fall in retail sales did not scare the Swiss franc

China's macroeconomic statistics support the Aussie

AUDUSD
April 1, 2016, 10:34
Buy on a level breakthrough of 0.7700 with 0.7750 target. Stop loss = 0.7650.

Reason for the trading strategy

In March, the official business activity index in China's manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors rose to 50.2 p. and 53.8 p. respectively. The statistics indicate an improvement in the economic situation in the world's second largest economy, but do not alter the scenario of its growth slowdown to 6.5% this year. To combat the crises, People's Bank of China may agree to the further easing of monetary policy, which will support the demand for commodities and commodity assets.

China's macroeconomic statistics support the Aussie

EURUSD: adjustment from the level of 1.1364

EURUSD
March 31, 2016, 09:41
Buy on a level breakthrough of 1.1364 with 1.1424 target. Stop loss = 1.1314.

Reason for the trading strategy

In February, Germany's retail sales decreased by 0.4% (m/m), with a forecast of a 0.4% (m/m) growth. However, the annualized rate increased by 5.4% against the forecast of 2.2%. In addition, in March, Germany's inflation rate rose by 0.8% (m/m) with a forecast of 0.6% (m/m) (the ECB stimulus measures contribute to a growth in inflation). After an adjustment, the EURUSD pair is likely to retest the resistance level of 1.1364.



EURUSD, H1

EURUSD: adjustment from the level of 1.1364

USDCAD: adjustment from the level of 1.2911

USDCAD
March 31, 2016, 10:40
Sell on a level breakthrough of 1.2911 with 1.2840 target. Stop loss = 1.2961.

Reason for the trading strategy

Despite the decline in the price of WTI crude oil from 42.5 to 37.6 dollars per barrel since March 18, the USDCAD pair continued to consolidate around the lower limit of the range of 1.2911-1.3295. This "anomaly" is due to the revaluation of the prospects of the US Federal Reserve tightening the monetary policy. This year, at best, the US Federal Reserve will raise the interest rates only twice and not 4 times.



USDCAD, H4

USDCAD: adjustment from the level of 1.2911